Subsea Umbilical (also known as umbilical cable, or power cable, SURF) is cable and/or hose that is used as a connection between subsea infrastructure and surface facilities/platforms, to provide a critical connection to control subsurface equipment. In addition, umbilicals can be used to supply required utilities (power & communication, instrument air, injection gas) from a “mother” platform to a smaller / satellite platform next to it. Umbilical functions are design to provide the following:
- Hydraulic pressure to activate valves
- Electrical power to power up subsea control equipment
- Fiber optics to transmit data
- Chemical injection
- Gas lift for gas injection
- Various electrical (control) signals for reading and monitoring systems
Umbilical can be of several types, namely:
- Power umbilicals and cables used to provide power and various control systems
Steel Tube ( Integrated Services Umbilical) umbilicals are more of an integrated system that includes powers, control, hydraulic, fiber optic, chemical injection and all other utilities required. Sometimes it is also referred to as multicore umbilical.
Umbilicals can be of various length and diameter, which primarily depends on its functional design, flow rates, field layout, water depth, seabed condition, pressure, and temperature regimes. Umbilicals can be designed for dynamic or static applications. Generally, the dynamic umbilical is hanging from the surface facilities and subject to many external forces, whereas static umbilical is trenched under the ground.
Two of the most critical elements of any umbilical are tensile strength and effective isolation, both internal between the cores and outer side. Those achieved via steel tubes and elastomer rubber. The grades of the steel tubes and type of elastomers are determined based on functional requirements, temperature regimes, both internal and external and degree of tensile loading.
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Risks & Opportunities
Risks & Opportunities
- Design & Specs Generally, umbilicals are bespoke and designed to suit a particular project. Hence, the lead times are long and range anywhere from 6 months to 24 months. One of the key elements that play a big role in managing the lead-time is design tolerance. Very often engineering is gold-plated and would include unjustifiably high safety margins, which result in higher-grade materials requirements, prototyping and approval of manufacturing procedures. All of this results in longer lead times and higher prices for buyers.
- Length & Lead time. Generally, shorter length umbilicals result in high prices due to reconfigurations costs for short production runs.
- Transportation Carrousel. Carousel on which umbilical is transported may be a very expensive item, hence rental of the carousel for shipping and then returning may save a significant amount of cash for buyers.
- Installation Vessel. The design of umbilicals should incorporate installation vessel features or be standardized, so there is no restriction on which lay-vessel to use when it comes to vessel tensioners and laying equipment. This primarily relevant to deepwater applications.
- Document Management. Standardizing technical and admin procedures is a significant opportunity area for reducing costs when done for multiple purchases from the same supplier.
- Material Selection. Steel tube materials tend to be a significant issue, Super Duplex Stainless Steel ( Cr25) is the ideal material to be used for tubes. Yet, it is expensive and with long lead times. 316L Stainless Steel could be used in some applications, with shorter field life ( less than 5 years), less than 3000 psi pressure and static service. The advantage of using 316L steel is lower cost and faster delivery.
- Welding. Welding of smaller diameter (1”- 4") super duplex tubes represent a challenge and have resulted in many delays and cost overruns.
Supply & Demand Dynamics
Supply & Demand Dynamics
The demand for umbilicals is directly affected by subsea project activities around the world. In particular, the complexity of field subsurface infrastructure and long-distance tiebacks subsea, require larger length and more sophisticated umbilicals. Demand for subsea umbilicals in the oil & gas industry is not expected to recover until 2023. Subsea Umbilical represent a quarter of the entire SURF market and translates into c.$ 1.5B in revenues.
Offshore wind farms play a large role in the demand for umbilicals and power cables and set grow significantly, in particular, offshore Europe. The demand for subsea cables from offshore wind farms is expected to dominate in the years to come and may account for more than half the total demand. According to Rystad Energy, the total length of marine wind power cables is expected to jump from 1800 km in 2019 to 4300km by 2022.
The largest oil & gas markets for umbilicals are South America & the Gulf of Mexico, representing around 30% of the global market, followed by the North Sea and the Asia Pacific. MENA is a very small market and may not always be attractive to umbilical manufacturers. Egypt, Angola and Saudi Arabia are the dominant markets in the MENA region.
The market of umbilicals is geographically connected to the end markets, with relatively good competition. Most of the manufacturers are located in Europe and the USA / South America. In parallel to that, some of those manufacturers tend to focus on a particular segment/application, leaving a less competitive environment to segments with fewer players available. As a result, buyer power is limited in those segments, in particular, when the timing of delivery is critical.
Lead times for subsea umbilical vary primarily depend on the application, material selection and capacity utilization. Generally, the lead time to manufacture subsea umbilicals varies between 9-16 months.
More than 75% of the global market is dominated by major players such as JDR Cables, Aker Solutions, Technip / FMC, Prysmian Group, MfX and Oceaneering.
Major manufacturers and suppliers of subsea umbilicals
- JDR cables
- Technic FMC
- Hydro Group
- Umbilicals International (SeaNamic)
- MFX Umbilicals
- Prysmian Group
- MAATS Tech
Cost & Price Analysis
Cost & Price Analysis
In the boom times culminating in 2014, umbilicals exhibited a steep upward trend in prices. However, since early 2015 the market for umbilicals shrunk by more than half, as a direct result of reduced activities. Yet, this was somehow compensated by steady and growing demand in renewables, i.e. offshore wind farms.
Due to the expected reduction in costs, prices for subsea umbilical is expected to show a downward trend in 2021. Operating margins in this segment tend to stay below the 10% mark.
Below is the approximate manufacturing cost breakdown. Raw materials contribute around 50% of the total manufacturing cost and largely depend on umbilical specifications. Due to long lead times, there is a lag between the cost of raw materials and the price of the ready umbilical.
According to Rystad Energy, up to 14% reduction in costs is expected between 2020 and 2022
Major cost drivers are:
- Steel & metal prices - directly impact the cost basis. In particular, carbon steel, stainless steel, Duplex Steel and Zinc
- Thermoplastics – Various insulation materials, polymers and rubber (elastomers) are used for temperature protection in multicore umbilicals
- Engineering - engineering man-hours is a significant contributor to the cost structure. The more bespoke the requirements are, the most man-hours required
- The manufacturing process - complex manufacturing process is a significant cost driver, in particular for higher-end products. Robust QA/QC activities are required to ensure quality & reliability
- Capacity utilization - this element, is a variable cost, is a significant cost contributor. Due to the size of the end-product ( e.g. 200km of 30cm in diameter hose rolled on a carousel) storage area of end products is very large and add a significant burden to the cost structure
- Part of EPC package: The best preferable strategy is to include procurement of umbilicals as part of an EPC package of a larger tender. This allows not only putting a schedule and engineering risk on the best party to control it ( i.e. EPC contractor) but, very often, better rates, as EPC companies buy umbilicals all the time and would have a much more effective buying power than oil companies.
- Buy-and-free-issue: In the event the time is critical, the procurement of umbilicals can progress in parallel with the EPC package and later free-issued to EPC contractor. There is a risk, though in the event of changes in engineering or installation vessel capabilities. The risks & benefits of this strategy as an option shall be carefully assessed and evaluated. What to consider:
- Maturity of engineering & design and the likelihood of project changes that may result in technical variations of umbilicals, as project progress
- The complexity of subsea infrastructure and who is in the best position to come up with a sound technical solution and manage changes. i.e. buyer vs. EPC contractor
- The degree of bespokeness of the umbilicals would dictate the degree of interaction required between engineering Buyer, EPC company and umbilical manufacturer
- Clarity on ultimate responsibility for technical performance and warranty of the umbilicals
- Clarity on manufacturing, expediting and shipment of umbilicals, i.e. clear boundaries and responsibilities when the EPC contractor gets involved and what their scope is. Always recommended FAT ( Factory Acceptance test) as a point when the EPC contractor picks up the materials on ex-works basis deliver it and install